KirkLindstrom.com - Articles - 2012 Blog - 10-Year US Treasury Bond 26-Year Trending Rate Channel
Kirk
                Windsurfing at Palo Alto in SF Bay in May 2009 10-Year US Treasury Bond Rate Channel
 
10-Year Bond Resistance and Support Levels for past 26 years
Kirk
                Windsurfing at Coyote Point November 2009
The interest rate for the 10-Year US Treasury bond is now very near the lower end of a 26-Year falling rate channel shown in the graph below.

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July 27, 2012:  US Treasury bonds (Rates at a Glance) have continued lower and are now near the bottom of a 26-year channel.  With CPI inflation now at 1.7% and the 10-year bond (quote) now at 1.50%, investors are currently more interested in "return of their money" than beating inflation with their fixed income.  This has been VERY good for the TIPS in my newsletter explore portfolio. 
 
My Explore Portfolio TIPS Update
 
From Chartoftheday.com1
For some perspective on all-important long-term interest rates, today's chart illustrates the 26-year trend of the 10-year Treasury bond yield (thick blue line). Ongoing concerns over Europe in addition to a struggling global economy have encouraged investors to move a portion of their investment dollars to the relative safety of the US. This has resulted in a significant decline of the 10-year Treasury bond yield. In fact, the 10-year yield has declined a fairly dramatic 360 basis points (i.e. 3.6%) since the peak of the credit bubble and has been critical for the restructuring of the debt incurred during the credit bubble. In the end, this decline has brought the 10-year Treasury bond yield right up against resistance of its 26-year downtrend channel.
PIIGS vs German BUND Chart


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Note 1.  Source: Chart of the Day  "Journalists and bloggers may post the above free Chart of the Day on their website as long as the chart is unedited and full credit is given with a live link to Chart of the Day at http://www.chartoftheday.com."

For quotes rather than graphs, click US Treasury Rate Quotes

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 $TLT $BND $TNX $TYX 10-Year US Treasury rate near the lower end of a 26-Year falling rate channel shown in this graph http://kirklindstrom.com/Articles/2012/0727_10_Year_US_Treasury_Bond_Resistance_Support_Lines.html 
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