June 26, 2013: Record Gains in Home Prices: "Over
the past 12 months,
the median price for a single-family home has shot up at the fastest
pace on record." Of course, this quick gain could be seen as a
retrace of the decline that came at a similar pace. The question
we face as investors is "where is fair value for home prices adjusted
for inflation?"
Chartoftheday.com1
wrote:
The
US real estate market continues to surge. For some perspective, today's
top chart illustrates the US median price (adjusted for inflation) of a
single-family home over the past 43 years while today's bottom chart
presents the annual percent change in home prices (also adjusted for
inflation). Today's chart illustrates that the inflation-adjusted median
home price has rarely increased more than 7.5% in one year (gray
shading). When inflation-adjusted home prices did increase more than
7.5% in one year, it was often soon followed by a period of stagnant or
declining prices. The exception to this occurred during the credit
bubble (2001 and 2002). It is worth noting that over the past 12 months,
the median price for a single-family home has shot up at the fastest
pace on record.
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