Gartner's 2010 Forecasts for Semiconductor Industry Global Revenue

Prior Year Gartner Forecasts

24 February 2010: Gartner Says Worldwide Semiconductor Revenue to Grow 20 Percent in 2010

Worldwide semiconductor revenue in 2010 is forecast to reach $276 billion in 2010, a 19.9% increase from 2009 revenue of $231 billion, according to the latest outlook by Gartner, Inc.
PCs and memory are the primary drivers for semiconductor revenue growth in 2010. “Rising DRAM prices coupled with strong PC demand will lead to over 55% DRAM revenue growth in 2010, making DRAM the fastest growing device type by far,” Mr. Lewis said.
Gartner analysts expect the semiconductor industry to show continued growth through its forecast period in 2014. The market is on track to surpass the $300 billion mark in 2012 when the market is forecast to total $304 billion.

09 March 2010: Gartner Says Worldwide semiconductor capital equipment spending to grow 76%

Worldwide semiconductor capital equipment spending is projected to surpass US$29.4 billion in 2010, a 76.1% rise from 2009 spending of US$16.7 billion.
"Spending by the memory and foundry markets, along with the advancement to new technology nodes, will drive the semiconductor equipment segment in the first half of 2010. Quarterly growth will see a slight slowdown in the second half before capacity additions start ramping up the equipment industry again going into 2011."

Gartner: Global chip equipment spending forecast, 2009-2014 (US$m)
	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014
Semiconductor capital spending	25,934.9	40,429.9	51,291.5	61,898.6	54,167.5	52,953.2
Y/Y	-41.1%	55.9%	26.9%	20.7%	-12.5%	-2.2%
Capital equipment	16,677.1	29,372.6	36,413.3	42,919.6	35,694.2	35,965.5
Y/Y	-45.6%	76.1%	24.0%	17.9%	-16.8%	0.8%
Wafer fab equipment	12,976.8	22,924.7	28,793.3	34,351.3	29,176.7	28,581.6
Y/Y	-46.4%	76.7%	25.6%	19.3%	-15.1%	-2.0%
Packaging and assembly equipment	2,382.6	4,181.7	5,013.2	5,716.4	4,335.5	4,977.0
Y/Y	-40.4%	75.5%	19.9%	14.0%	-24.2%	14.8%
Automated test equipment	1,317.7	2,266.2	2,606.8	2,851.9	2,182.1	2,406.8
Y/Y	-46.1%	72.0%	15.0%	9.4%	-23.5%	10.3%
Other spending	9,257.8	11,057.3	14,878.2	18,979.0	18,473.3	16,987.8
Y/Y	-30.8%	19.4%	34.6%	27.6%	-2.7%	-8.0%