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PIIGS Bond Spread Versus the German
Bund 10-Year Bond Spreads: Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece, and Spain |
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Charts
and current price quote for Crude Oil Prices Return to KirkLindstrom.com home page |
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June
15, 2012: PIIGS stands
for Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece, and
Spain. With so much on the line, I find it
interesting that the spread has actually improved
since the start of the year. Still, cash has
poured out of Europe into the "relative safety" of
US Treasury bonds (Rates
at a Glance) thus driving them to
historically low rates without the Fed having to
do QE3.
From Chartoftheday.com1 Saturday, Greeks will head to the polls in a second attempt to form a government -- an election/government that may ultimately determine if Greece remains in the euro zone. While the implications for Greece are dramatic, there is concern that a Greek exit would threaten other euro zone members (e.g. Spain and Italy) and potentially test the ability of European institutions (e.g. the European Central Bank) to prevent contagion. Today's chart helps illustrate the risk of European debt by plotting out the 10-year government bond spread (versus the German Bund) for all the PIIGS (i.e. Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece, and Spain) from 2007 to the present. For example, the Greek 10-year government bond yield (light blue line) is currently 27 percentage points greater than that of the relatively stable German Bund. That is a far cry from where it was back in the summer of 2009. Currently, however, many are focused on the third and fourth largest euro zone economies (i.e. Italy and Spain). A run on the financial institutions of these more substantial economies would have global implications. It is noteworthy that the Italian and Spanish 10-year government bond spread has not declined after the ECB offered three-year loans in December and February.
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Article: Beware
of
Annuities
Article
Index
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Note 1. Source:
Chart of
the Day "Journalists
and bloggers may post the above free Chart of
the Day on their website as long as the chart is
unedited and full credit is given with a live
link to Chart of the Day at
http://www.chartoftheday.com."
For quotes rather than graphs, click US
Treasury Rate Quotes |
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Disclaimer: The information contained in this seb site is not intended to constitute financial advice, and is not a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any security. This blog is strictly informational and educational and is not to be construed as any kind of financial advice, investment advice or legal advice. Copyright © 2012 Kirk Lindstrom. Note: "CORE & Explore®" was coined by and is a registered trademark of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. |