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US Dollar Index Surges to 12-Year High Historical Chart of the US Dollar Index from 1995 to now |
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March 11, 2015:
With negative short term interest rates from Germany's Federal Reserve,
money is flowing into US bonds, CDs, and savings account where you can
get better yield. This has caused the US dollar to surge. The chart below shows the US dollar is at a 12-yr high. Strong Dollar Questions:
Sluggish economic news out of China put downward pressure on the US stock market -- the Dow was down 1.85% on the day. While several major economies are struggling (e.g. Europe and China), the US economy has been performing relatively well. After all, the Fed is considering raising rates as early as June. This relative divergence in economic strength has sent the US dollar surging higher. For some perspective, today's chart illustrates the trend of the US dollar index over the past 20 years. Notice how the US dollar has risen sharply since June 2014 -- a gain that is comparable in both duration and magnitude to what occurred during the height of the financial crisis (2008). The concern going forward is that a significantly stronger dollar will make it much more difficult for US corporations to compete and ultimately have a negative impact on earnings.. The dollar is going up because short term interest rates in some European countries like Germany are negative. That is banks have to pay 0.20% to Germany's Federal Reserve to hold their cash until they need it! Compare that to the US where you can get 1.0% in FDIC accounts and you can see why money is pouring into the US.
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